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Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Interest Rate Market Risk
We invest most of our cash in a number of diversified investment and non-investment grade fixed and floating rate securities, consisting of cash equivalents and marketable securities. Changes in the general level of United States interest rates can affect the principal values and yields of fixed-income investments. If interest rates in the general economy were to rise rapidly in a short period of time, our fixed-income investments could lose value. If the general economy were to weaken significantly, the credit profile of issuers of securities held in our investment portfolios could deteriorate, and our investments could lose value. We may implement investment strategies of different types with varying duration and risk/return trade-offs that do not perform well.
The following table provides information about our financial instruments that are sensitive to changes in interest rates. For our interest-bearing securities, the table presents principal cash flows, weighted average yield at cost and contractual maturity dates. Additionally, we have assumed that these securities are similar enough within the specified categories to aggregate these securities for presentation purposes.
|
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Principal Amount by Expected Maturity
Average Interest Rates |
|
|
| (dollars in millions) |
2006 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2009 |
|
2010 |
|
There
after |
-
|
No
Single
Maturity |
|
Total |
|
Fair
Value |
|
| |
| Fixed interest-bearing securities: |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
$ |
608 |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
608 |
|
$ |
608 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
3.6 |
% |
| Held-to-maturity securities |
$ |
60 |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
60 |
|
$ |
60 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
2.1 |
% |
| Available-for-sale securities: |
| Investment grade |
$ |
2,266 |
|
$ |
336 |
|
$ |
221 |
|
$ |
9 |
|
$ |
20 |
|
$ |
9 |
|
$ |
213 |
|
$ |
3,074 |
|
$ |
3,074 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
3.4 |
% |
|
3.7 |
% |
|
4.1 |
% |
|
4.4 |
% |
|
4.1 |
% |
|
6.7 |
% |
|
4.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Non-investment grade |
$ |
2 |
|
$ |
5 |
|
$ |
24 |
|
$ |
48 |
|
$ |
38 |
|
$ |
573 |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
690 |
|
$ |
690 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
6.5 |
% |
|
7.5 |
% |
|
7.3 |
% |
|
7.3 |
% |
|
8.2 |
% |
|
7.9 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Fixed interest-bearing securities: |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
$ |
1,364 |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
1,364 |
|
$ |
1,364 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
3.7 |
% |
| Held-to-maturity securities |
$ |
70 |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
70 |
|
$ |
70 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
1.4 |
% |
| Available-for-sale securities: |
| Investment grade |
$ |
174 |
|
$ |
289 |
|
$ |
131 |
|
$ |
26 |
|
$ |
13 |
|
$ |
49 |
|
$ |
552 |
|
$ |
1,234 |
|
$ |
1,234 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
3.6 |
% |
|
3.7 |
% |
|
3.6 |
% |
|
3.5 |
% |
|
4.0 |
% |
|
4.3 |
% |
|
4.1 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Non-investment grade |
|
— |
|
$ |
6 |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
3 |
|
$ |
2 |
|
$ |
17 |
|
|
— |
|
$ |
28 |
|
$ |
28 |
|
| Interest rate |
|
|
|
|
4.9 |
% |
|
|
|
|
6.4 |
% |
|
7.1 |
% |
|
8.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Equity Price Market Risk
We invest in a number of diversified marketable securities and mutual fund shares subject to equity price risk. The recorded values of marketable equity securities increased to $1.16 billion at September 25, 2005 from $765 million at September 26, 2004. The recorded value of equity mutual fund shares decreased to $293 million at September 25, 2005 from $296 million at September 26, 2004. Our diversified investments in specific companies and industry segments may vary over time, and changes in the concentrations of these investments may affect the price volatility of our investments. A 10% decrease in the market price of our marketable equity securities and equity mutual fund shares at September 25, 2005 would cause a corresponding 10% decrease in the carrying amounts of these securities, or $145 million.
Our strategic investments in other entities consist substantially of investments in private early-stage companies accounted for under the equity and cost methods. Accordingly, we believe that our exposure to market risk from these investments is not material. Additionally, we do not anticipate any near-term changes in the nature of our market risk exposures or in management’s objectives and strategies with respect to managing such exposures. The recorded values of these strategic investments totaled $121 million at September 25, 2005, as compared to $162 million at September 26, 2004.
We hold warrants to acquire equity interests in certain strategic investees that are subject to equity price risk. Substantially all of these warrants are recorded at fair value in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities.” The recorded values of warrants held at September 25, 2005 totaled $1 million, as compared to $4 million at September 26, 2004.
In connection with our stock repurchase program, we sell put options that may require us to repurchase shares of our common stock at fixed prices. These written put options subject us to equity price risk. At September 25, 2005, two put options were outstanding, which expire on December 7, 2005 and March 21, 2006, that may require us to repurchase 11,500,000 shares of our common stock upon exercise for $411 million (net of the option premiums received). The put option liabilities, with a fair value of $7 million at September 25, 2005, were included in other current liabilities. If the fair value of our common stock at September 25, 2005 decreased by 10%, the put options would expire unexercised resulting in $7 million in investment income. If the fair value of our common stock at September 25, 2005 decreased by 25%, the amount required to physically settle the put options would exceed the fair value of the shares repurchased by approximately $25 million, net of the $23 million in premiums received.
Additional information regarding our strategic investments is provided in Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Operating Results in this Annual Report.
Foreign Exchange Market Risk
We manage our exposure to foreign exchange market risks, when deemed appropriate, through the use of derivative financial instruments, consisting primarily of foreign currency forward and option contracts. Such derivative financial instruments are viewed as hedging or risk management tools and are not used for speculative or trading purposes. At September 25, 2005, we had no foreign currency forward contracts outstanding. At September 25, 2005, the recorded values of our foreign currency option contracts that hedge the foreign currency risk on royalties earned from certain international licensees on their sales of CDMA and WCDMA products were $16 million. If our forecasted royalty revenues were to decline by 20% and foreign exchange rates were to change unfavorably by 20% in each of our hedged foreign currencies, we would incur a loss of approximately $6 million resulting from a decrease in fair value of the portion of our hedges that would be rendered ineffective. See “Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements—The Company and Its Significant Accounting Policies” for a description of our foreign currency accounting policies.
Financial instruments held by consolidated subsidiaries and equity method investees which are not denominated in the functional currency of those entities are subject to the effects of currency fluctuations and may affect reported earnings. As a global concern, we face exposure to adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates. We may hedge currency exposures associated with certain assets and liabilities denominated in nonfunctional currencies and certain anticipated nonfunctional currency transactions. As a result, we could experience unanticipated gains or losses on anticipated foreign currency cash flows, as well as economic loss with respect to the recoverability of investments. While we may hedge certain transactions with non-United States customers, declines in currency values in certain regions may, if not reversed, adversely affect future product sales because our products may become more expensive to purchase in the countries of the affected currencies.
Our analysis methods used to assess and mitigate risk discussed above should not be considered projections of future risks.
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